Over the past 73 days, we've witnessed a significant increase in the value of $BTC, with a 57% increase from the low of 15.5k to the current high of 24.2k.
This uptrend has allowed Bitcoin to exit the descending regression channel and trade along the upper boundary of the new channel drawn from the low.
However, analyzing past market movements, I see a strong possibility of a future retest of the channel's lower bound. The high degree of slope of the linear regression only strengthens my view.
With the moving averages and range highs above, I remain cautious.
I left the market in early December 2021 when bitcoin was around 50,000. I am not yet feeling any pressure from FOMO.
Instead, I start looking for sound setups, especially in alternative cryptocurrencies, before making any decisions.
I hope you don't find the attached chart too confusing. I tried to give some "historical context" using past regression channels.
As always, these are just my personal thoughts and shouldn't be treated as financial advice.