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A common alts selection theme in this bull market is the proliferation of tokens with very low circulating supply and very high fully diluted valuation.
The situation is a reflection of the fact that recent projects went through many rounds of private funding before they hit the public market. Via aggressive token unlock schedules, those projects are turning retail investors into exit liquidity for those who were lucky enough to get into their previous rounds. Sadly, the chance to be early in crypto has been bottled up and made available exclusively to "big money" circles by now.
A positive sign seems to be that the market started punishing some projects with particularly greedy token minting strategies. Unfortunately, almost all projects that currently get market attention (aside from meme coins) are in this low float/high valuation category, they're just on a spectrum from worse to worst.
We deal with this situation by trying to stay away from the greediest projects, by picking projects that seem to have a chance to grow into their high valuation and by trying to spot last cycle projects that have a true chance at a renaissance (like $AR).
And yes, the above situation is one of the fundamental reasons why meme coins are doing so well this cycle. The "big money" investors brought this onto themselves by only leaving scraps to the little guys.
Quick update: After the rally after the local lows, we are seeing a slight cool-off, which is really nothing unexpected.
Coinbase Premium was negative almost the whole of Tuesday, which translated into a negative ETF flow day (-$15m).
The Crypto Weekly RSI Heatmap sees levels scattered all over the place which makes sense in this current range. Some coins doing much better than others which is translated into this mess of a chart below.Average Weekly RSI still at ~50 which is as neutral as you can get.
Also, there is a lot of doubt Ether ETFs are going to get approved shortly (the first final deadlines are on May 23rd). Grayscale has withdrawn its Ether futures ETF application and has stirred market uncertainty, particularly among short-term traders who have increased their positions anticipating a downtrend.
Many have already anticipated that ETH ETSs won't get approved in May, but as always there will most likely be price manipulation after the likely rejection in the cards. Be aware that May has in the previous three years been a negative year for BTC price:
- 2021 (-35.31%)
- 2022 (-15.6%)
- 2023 (-6.98%)
Because of that the saying: "sell in May" has formed, and many in the crypto space stick to it, it is also the last month of the highly anticipated crypto summer. So May will probably be "one hell of a ride". As always, stick to your plan.
Dogecoin Market Update: Navigating Through Volatility and Regulatory Waves 📈🔍
Recent Performance: Despite a 27% decrease over the last month, Dogecoin ($DOGE) has surged 18.6% in the past week.
Whale Movements: Significant whale activity, including a $60 million transfer to Robinhood, is impacting market dynamics.
Regulatory Impact: SEC's recent Wells notice to Robinhood could influence Dogecoin’s short-term trajectory.
Investor Insights: On-chain metrics reveal strong support at $0.120, amidst growing investor interest and market entries.
Market Outlook: With critical support and resistance levels at play, investors should monitor upcoming developments closely.
Stay updated with the latest trends and analyses in the crypto world. Read our blog and join the conversation. 👉http://bit.ly/3wqmhQL
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