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Decided it was time to slowly buy back into the market. Am more sure we will continue to go downwards, than up, but you never know.
Also Coinbase Premium just once in the past year has been this low. Let's see how this unwinds. A lot is happening: last day of the month, FOMC tomorrow, Big tech earning... this is crypto for you :)
20% corrections have been a consistent feature of $BTC's run-up from the 2023 lows. We are tracing a healthy path back to the medium term uptrend. When the RSI has breached the 40 line over the last year, the price has generally formed an interim low.
This looks like an obvious area of support although as ever much will depend on the macro. That said, this market moves from being "bad news sensitive" to "good news sensitive" in pretty short order.
Eyes on the horizon.
We knew there was a slight chance BTC might visit 60k again via this chart from 3 days ago.
This fractal makes it look like BTC is exiting the channel, making bears short and bulls panic.
We are watching closely how today's monthly close turns out. It should recover quickly back to the channel
Sold most of it. 85% USDC. Waiting to buy back at range 54k and lower.
Market Recap: Bitcoin and Ethereum Experience Decline
In April, the cryptocurrency market saw fluctuations with Bitcoin and Ethereum witnessing a decline in value. Bitcoin slipped to $62,890, a decrease of 10.89%, while Ethereum fell to $3,146, a drop of 13.21%. The global cryptocurrency market cap also decreased to approximately $2.31 trillion over the last 24 hours. This downward trend was attributed to various factors including low demand from Spot ETFs and negative investor sentiment, especially concerning a potential post-halving crash. Market analysts highlighted these concerns.
BTC and ETH Technical Analysis
Technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) reveals key insights into their price movements. BTC remained below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) while holding above the 200-day EMA, confirming a bearish near-term but bullish longer-term trend. A breakout above the $64,000 resistance level could signal a move towards $69,000, while a drop below the $60,365 support level may lead to a test of the $58,000 handle. The 14-Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading for BTC suggests a potential drop to $58,000 before entering oversold territory.
On the other hand, $ETH held above both the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, affirming bullish price signals. A breakout above the $3,400 handle could push ETH towards $3,835, while a break below the 50-day EMA and the $3,244 support level may lead to a test of the $3,033 support level. The 14-period Daily RSI reading for ETH indicates a potential return to $3,500 before entering overbought territory.
It's crucial to consider key support and resistance levels, as well as indicators like moving averages and RSI. For $BTC, the $58,000 support level remains critical, with potential downside targets if breached. Conversely, a breakout above $64,000 could signal further bullish momentum.
Similarly, for ETH, the $3,240 support level is significant, while a breakout above $3,400 could lead to further upside towards $3,840. Traders should closely monitor these levels and indicators for potential trading opportunities in the coming days and weeks.
Market Sentiment: BTC Post-Halving Rally Anticipation
Despite recent declines, analysts remain optimistic about BTC's potential for a substantial rally in the near future, citing historical trends and the recent halving event. The halving, which occurred on April 20, 2024, reduces mining rewards by half and historically triggers significant price surges. Analysts anticipate a rally influenced by increased involvement from financial institutions and historical patterns following halving events. This optimism is reinforced by a notable increase in transaction fees within the Bitcoin network, indicating heightened activity and growing demand for Bitcoin transactions.
Legal Battles and Regulatory Challenges in the Crypto Space
The cryptocurrency industry faced legal battles and regulatory challenges in April, highlighting the ongoing tension between innovation and regulatory compliance. Binance founder Changpeng Zhao faced potential legal repercussions, including a possible three-year prison term, due to alleged violations of federal sanctions and money laundering regulations. Additionally, Consensys initiated legal action against the U.S. SEC over the regulation of Ethereum (ETH), aiming to prevent Ether from being labelled as a security. These legal disputes underscore the need to balance innovation with regulatory oversight in the crypto space.
Altcoin Analysis: Market Trends and Performance
Beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum, various altcoins experienced notable market trends and performance shifts in April. Major tokens such as Solana, Cardano, Near, Polkadot, and Avalanche all exhibited declines alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum. Solana saw a decrease of 31.12%, ADA dropped by 30.16%, Near fell by 7.8%, Polkadot experienced a decrease of 31.54%, and Avalanche witnessed a decline of 34.74%.
These altcoins are often influenced by market sentiment, technological developments, and regulatory news. Traders and investors closely monitor altcoin movements for potential trading opportunities and to gauge overall market sentiment. Additionally, the dominance of stablecoins in the crypto market highlights their role in facilitating liquidity and stability during periods of market volatility.
