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Decentralized Finance sector

$UNI

$MKR

$RUNE

$LDO

$AAVE

$DYDX

$SNX

$CAKE

$OSMO

$1INCH

This is your weekly update!

Sometimes it's really hard to stay focused on your own strategy, when lots of ALTS are flying! If you have some money spend in GRAZZP AI you will know what I mean. 

This strategy (GRAZZP) is on the other hand more focused on growing while having a relative safe play and that means that we are not all in, all the time like GRAZZP AI. 

Lets recap what happened. Price has hit the 52.250 dollar target of previous week and now it looks like price could come down. Not sure if this will be the start of a bigger pullback, or that we still get one more push up. I have to follow my own strategy based on technical analyses, because it has proven to be correct, many times. It shows it's time to have (at least some) correction. 

How does the 1D chart look like today?

Ichimoku;

Cloud is green

Price is above the green cloud

Price is above the red line

The red line has crossed the blue line, which means price is back in its upwards trend.

Lagging span (green line) is above the green cloud.  

All of the above is bullish, but.....

RSI;

Price is in the overbought zone (above 70), and on the 4H chart there is strong bearish divergence. 

FSVZO;

On the lowest indicator of the chart, 9 red crosses are created including a dot, meaning price is starting to reverse. 

Elliott Wave;

Any price above leg 3 (49.318 dollar) could be the end of the total leg (leg 1 to 5) and we have reached exactly that level. 

What could be the Target?

Even if price would go up, the upwards potential looks limited. I am aware that what I'm saying is not the popular opinion, but I think we could go down to at least 44K (the gray FVG). After that we can decide what's next (invest and go full in, or wait a bit more). 

What does this mean for GRAZZP™ Strategy?

As you can see, I'm still betting that price of $BTC is going down. The other view on the topic is that lots of traders are expecting this also. Therefore $BTC does exactly the opposite to find liquidity (their stoplosses).

I'm not fully out and kept $DOGE and $ETH for reasons mentioned many times before, and added small amounts of $APT, $INJ and $SNX. Lets see how the week develops!

Thanks all!

$SNX

Synthetix could become a DeFi primitive in the future.

It provides an open system for liquidity for permissionless derivatives like perpetual futures, options, parimutuel markets.

It got a lot of traction recently and the total value locked grew by 150% over the last two months.

Revenue has also been growing steadily.

The chart looks great with a strong trend which could go parabolic soon.

Hello and good evening! 

This weeks update is very similar to last weeks.

I wrote that "When $BTC is stable, without any significant moves, ALTS usually get spikey." 

That's exactly what happened with 2 of our ALTS within the GRAZZP portfolio. They outperformed the market very well: $SKL +42% and $SNX +21%. I just sold them and bought more BTC, just to make sure we are not giving it back to the market. 

let's proceed to the 1D BTC chart. 

How does the chart look like today?

The chart looks bullish. Price did correct a bit, and is moving to the red box. I still expect BTC to correct a bit more, before hitting the red box. 

Why do I think that?

Ichimoku;

Cloud is green

Price is above the green cloud

Price is above the red line

Lagging span (green line) is above the green cloud 

RSI;

Just below 70% and it did not pass the 50% level yet. Its now not really "overbought", but the needed correction before giving it a strong next push, did not happen yet. 

What could be the Target?

Because of the small correction i changed the Elliott Wave count and placed the green 4th leg just below 34.800 dollar.

Preferably i would like to see a retest to at least 33,4K, but hopefully a bit deeper to 32K dollar and then up to +- 40K. 

What does this mean for GRAZZP™ Strategy?

We stepped fully into ALTS last week, because $BTC was stable and ALTS looked prime to pump. Now i can't find any clear ALT Longs. $BTC is still looking very strong nevertheless, therefore I increased $BTC.

As you know, I'm always keeping an eye on $BTC. If it shows weakness, or hits the red box, I will sell most ALTS to take profit and try to buy back cheaper.  

Over the past 73 days, we've witnessed a significant increase in the value of $BTC, with a 57% increase from the low of 15.5k to the current high of 24.2k. 

This uptrend has allowed Bitcoin to exit the descending regression channel and trade along the upper boundary of the new channel drawn from the low. 

However, analyzing past market movements, I see a strong possibility of a future retest of the channel's lower bound. The high degree of slope of the linear regression only strengthens my view. 

With the moving averages and range highs above, I remain cautious.  

I left the market in early December 2021 when bitcoin was around 50,000. I am not yet feeling any pressure from FOMO.

Instead, I start looking for sound setups, especially in alternative cryptocurrencies, before making any decisions.

I got my eyes on $ATOM, $FTM, $XMR, $SUSHI, $GNT, $ANT, $SNX, $DYDX, $DOGE, and of course $ETH

I hope you don't find the attached chart too confusing. I tried to give some "historical context" using past regression channels.

As always, these are just my personal thoughts and shouldn't be treated as financial advice.

Cheers!