Low Fees Top Fundamentals

I just wanted to say that the conditions in crypto in last 6 months are crazy.

In last few days the portfolio has been heavily impacted due to market panick because 2 US banks have failed.

Sillicon Valley bank is a bank that is a custodian of USDC and USDC has depegged from 1$ mark, this has caused for market panick.

After so hard bear cycle nobody wants to see another Terra Luna colapse.

After weekend US has announced it will save all depositors. USDC is back to it's 1$ mark.

I honestly don't know what to say. Crypto is volatile but the volatility we are experiancing in last few weeks is beyond reasonable.

Black swan events every few weeks...

Focus will be on fundamentals. We have decided we will ignore all price swings untill reasonable prices are hit.

Reason for big shift in portfolio structure:

$ATOM was one of the best L1 performers of the bear cycle in 2022 & it was our main holding. Sure we felt the pain but we outperformed overall the market. Recently we dumped $ATOM . Reasoning is simple.

$ATOM belongs to the coins that have the least correlation to $BTC & other part of crypto,.

Most L1's got hit extremely hard in bear cycle --> most suffered more than 90% loses

We are hard believers in $ETH but it has few technical disantvantages that other L1 have solved. This was the reasoning for our $ATOM pick.

Since $BTC is on rampage lately, we can see that $ATOM is slowly underperforming it, while some altcoins are having crazy runs.

$NEAR was heavily impacted due to VC & Institutions like DCG have had big positions in it & they had to liquidate assets due to bankruptcy of their subsidiary Geneis. NEAR PROTOCOL is already live with sharding, has one of highest developer activity, very strong treasury and one of the biggest support from VC Firms. Seeing it down nearly 90% from ATH is a perfect point to enter.

$RUNE is extremely complicated to explain in 1 sentence so we will summarise it.

Thorchain is a crosschain DEX agregator. It works like a liquidity blackhole for entire crypto space. Offers self custory, directly from your hardware wallet, beeing able to swap to any chain, take a loan, earn yield etc... And best part it's part of $ATOM Ecosystem. Once liquidity and high volumes return to crypto so will $RUNE's price. Recently biggest & most trusted wallet providers have implemented or have announced they are implementing $RUNE in it's backend (TrustWallet, Ledger,...)

We'll say it in a simple way: YOU WILL USE $RUNE & YOU WILL BE HAPPY WITHOUT KNOWING YOU ARE USING IT. With THORCHAIN there is no more need to CEX's like Binance, Coinbase etc... 😉

$MKR Is the 2nd biggest protocol on Ethereum and biggest decentralised stable coin project

$DOT Is a crosschain L1 protocol that fullfils our multichain thesis.

We believe some of our picks will outperform $BTC heavily in following weeks. $ATOM has lately alot of drama in governance so we have exited it due to risk reward. We believe our picks are primed for a heavy run to the upside.

Was doing research for past weeks.

Stressfull times, but I have finaly decided to make adjustements to the portfolio structure. While we remain pesimistic about macro picture we are very bullish on crosschain protocols, DeFi & undervalued L1 networks.

Research update will be posted shortly.

Main assets will be now:

$RUNE $NEAR & $MKR

Expect alot of volatility.

Risk / Reward ratio is favorable.

Fundamental & Technical analysis will be posted tomorow.

Stay tuned 🙃

If there's no economic shock building why do we have biggest increases in employee layoffs?

Central Banks will break the economy with too high interest rates. They aint doing policy reasonably, like they didn't when they introduced helicopter money in 2020. They keep ignoring live data.

This data is only for Tech companies.

The mega corporations are doing biggest layoffs in years and most people think bull run is around corner?🔴

Corporations are announcing worst earnings reports in decades and retail thinks bull run is around corner?🔴

UPDATE:

Since last time of our rebalance and selling of our assets, markets have rallied +25%

As much as i hate to see these gains go away, fundamental dangers are still in place.

What we've predicted was crypto titan Genesis going bankrupt. With announcement of bankcuptcy crypto rallied. Illogical.

Grayscale, Genesis & Gemini case is much bigger case than FTX.

Digital Currency Group is a crypto titan that owns subsidiary Genesis.

Most altcoins have rallied, because Bitcoin pulled them up, but they are losing value against BTC, if Bitcoin corrects, we're expecting massacre.

MACRO OUTLOOK:

Consumer debt is at all time high 🔴

Interest rates are at multi year high 🔴

Personal savings rate is at multi decade lows 🔴

Corporations continue with massive layoffs 🔴

Real estate volumes have plunged the most in decades 🔴

Central Banks continue to raise interest rates to new highs 🔴

Earning reports for most corps for 2022 are realy bad 🔴

We're seeing many fundamental red flags, which causes us to be carefull.

We remain extremely bullish on crypto but there are still fundamental issues here that haven't went away. Ignoring them would be irresponsible.

The only good part about current crypto prices are, they're still cheap. But correlation with TradFi like SP500 is still here. If TradFi breaks, crypto breaks much more.

We'll wait to see more earnings report releases from massive corporations to determine the next way to go with crypto.