A week ago I wrote about “complete fuckery and crazy market manipulation” and would like to explain the main reason why I think so. I tried to simplify my thoughts of this intricate situation so hopefully you will get the point.
The rise of Bitcoin from 17k to 25k all has to do with Binance. For a while now there is this mysterious twapper account buying constantly all the time, creating a strong foundation of demand for Bitcoin. At the same moment you could see on chain that insane amounts of BUSD from Paxos got dumped in order to buy Bitcoin and swapped into USDT via OTC trades. We all know about the attack of the SEC on Binance and this way they could state that BUSD isn’t backed by them. This whole movement looks they are exiting the market.
Many (big) twitter accounts would like you to believe that retail is buying again and that we will see 30k, 35k soon. Because of the manipulation and the current fomo I think 30k+ is certainly a possibility but a black swan event seems more and more inevitable.
@Top20OP showed much strenght the last few days due to the Coinbase L2 narrative and expected a market recovery this weekend. Same for Ocean. As long as supports holds I won’t close the positions but you can imagine that I’m not happy with my first red week of the year.